Mortgage ratesÃ‚Â skyrocketed (relatively)Ã‚Â following today’s rate hike from the Fed. Ã‚Â It wasn’t the rate hike itself, however, that markets find most troubling. Ã‚Â In fact, the hike was almost universally expected. Ã‚Â Rather, this was one of the 4 Fed meetings of 2016 that included updated economic projections (sometimes referred to as “the dots” due to the dot-plot chart the Fed uses to show where members see the Fed Funds rate in coming years). Ã‚Â
Today’s dots showed that the Fed now sees an additional rate hike in 2016 compared to the last set of projections. Ã‚Â Longer term rates like mortgages and 10yr Treasuries had already adjusted for today’s hike, but they had not yet adjusted for any change in the dots. Ã‚Â With time running out for traders to take advantage of liquidity ahead of the holidays, the race was on to sell bonds as quickly as possible. Ã‚Â When traders sell bonds, it pushes rates higher.